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File:Projections of global mean sea level rise by Parris et al. (2012).png

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English: This graph shows projections of global mean sea level rise (SLR) by Parris et al. (2012)[1] In 2100, global mean sea level is projected to rise by 0.2-2.0 m (0.7-6.6 ft), relative to mean sea level in 1992:

Scenario / SLR by 2100 (m) / SLR by 2100 (ft)
Highest / 2.0 / 6.6
Intermediate-high / 1.2 / 3.9
Intermediate-low / 0.5 / 1.6
Lowest / 0.2 / 0.7

Note: projections are relative to mean sea level in 1992.

SLR increases smoothly over the 21st century, with a slight acceleration over time. In 2050, SLR projections approximately range between 0.1-0.62 m (0.3-2.0 ft).

Parris et al. (2012)[2] do not assign probabilities to these scenarios. Therefore, none of these scenarios should be interpreted as a best-estimate of future SLR.

Notes

  1. Figure 10, in: 4. Global Mean Sea Level Rise Scenarios, in: Main Report, in Parris & others 2012, p. 12
  2. Executive Summary, in Parris & others 2012, p. 1

References

  • Parris, A., et al. (2012-12-06) Global Sea Level Rise Scenarios for the US National Climate Assessment. NOAA Tech Memo OAR CPO-1[1], NOAA Climate Program Office, archived from the original on 2013-02-23
日期
来源 Figure 10, in: "4. Global Mean Sea Level Rise Scenarios," in: "Main Report," in: Global Sea Level Rise Scenarios for the US National Climate Assessment. NOAA Tech Memo OAR CPO-1[2], National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Climate Program Office, 6 December 2012, archived from the original on 2013-02-23, p.12.
作者 Parris, A., P. Bromirski, V. Burkett, D. Cayan, M. Culver, J. Hall, R. Horton, K. Knuuti, R. Moss, J. Obeysekera, A. Sallenger, and J. Weiss

许可协议

Public domain
本图像属于公有领域,因该作品最初来自于美国国家海洋和大气管理局职员的职务作品。

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当前2013年8月17日 (六) 12:032013年8月17日 (六) 12:03版本的缩略图1,355 × 761(34 KB)Enescot{{Information |Description ={{en|1=This graph shows projections of global mean sea level rise (SLR) by Parris ''et al.'' (2012)<ref> Figure 10, in: 4. Global Mean Sea Level Rise Scenarios, in: Main Report, in {{harvnb|...

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